Trend following is appealing because it asks a simpler question than most strategies. Instead of forecasting where price will go, it reacts to where price is already going and stays with the move until it clearly ends.
A rising market makes higher highs and higher lows; a falling market makes lower highs and lower lows. That structure, more than any indicator, defines a trend.
Moving averages can help confirm direction and filter out sideways periods where trend methods struggle.
Chasing a trend at its extremes is expensive. Waiting for a pullback toward a moving average or a prior level offers a lower risk entry in the direction of the move.
The trade off is that some strong trends never pull back deeply, so a plan for missed entries matters too.
The profit in trend following comes from a minority of large moves, so cutting winners short quietly destroys the edge. Trailing stops help you stay in while protecting gains.
Accept that you will give back some profit at the end of every trend; that is the cost of capturing the middle of it.
Operar de todo significa no entender bien nada. Una lista de seguimiento corta y enfocada suele rendir más que una dispersa.
5 min de lectura →EstrategiaEl backtesting puede generar confianza o falsa confianza. La diferencia está en la honestidad de la prueba.
6 min de lectura →EstrategiaUno estudia el precio, el otro estudia el porqué. Los mejores traders dejan que cada uno responda la pregunta que sabe responder.
6 min de lectura →